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A case card in poker is the last card of a certain rank remaining in the deck. This
means that 6️⃣ the other three cards of that rank have either been dealt or exposed at some
point earlier in the hand.
For 6️⃣ example, imagine we hold an Ace on a AAx flop in
Hold’em. There is only one ace left in the 6️⃣ deck that can give us quads, the case
Ace.
In this guide we’ll learn the following -
What Does it Mean to 6️⃣ Draw to a Case Card
in Poker?
If we are drawing to a case card it essentially means that we only 6️⃣ have one
out left in the deck that can complete our draw. Drawing to case cards is a bad thing
6️⃣ because it means we are going to miss in the vast majority of cases. A common example
is having a 6️⃣ dominated three of a kind and needing to hit the last remaining card of a
certain rank to make quads 6️⃣ and win the pot.
Will we Always Know if We are Drawing to
the Case Card?
Sometimes we might think we have 6️⃣ two outs to improve (for example we
hold two aces and need to improve to three of a kind) but 6️⃣ it turns out that another
player folded one of our outs earlier on in the hand. We are technically drawing 6️⃣ to the
case ace but have no way of knowing there aren’t still two aces in the deck. In
televised 6️⃣ poker, the commentators may have seen that the ace was folded earlier in the
hand and correctly realise that a 6️⃣ player is drawing to the case ace even though the
player himself has no idea.
What Does it Mean to ‘Catch 6️⃣ the Case Ace’ in
Poker?
Catching the case Ace means we hit the last available ace in the deck. For
example, 6️⃣ we hold three of a kind aces in Hold’em but are currently losing to a full
house. If we hit 6️⃣ the last remaining ace in the deck to make quads this is known as
‘catching the case ace’.
How Likely is 6️⃣ it to Catch a Case Card?
Catching a case card is
very unlikely in Hold’em. From flop to turn 2.1% of 6️⃣ the time. From turn to river 2.2%
of the time. And from flop to river 4.3% of the time. Basically, 6️⃣ don’t count on it,
it’s probably not going to happen.
Summary
Drawing to case cards is usually not
favorable since we are 6️⃣ extremely unlikely to hit. As poker players we should always be
aware of when it is worth drawing and when 6️⃣ it is not. Chasing unlikely events is a good
way to lose a lot of chips.
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