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Post
Mon Aug 25, 2014 9:32 am
Hi Arbusers.
I just started betting and was hoping to make
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I did💰 a lot of reading before setting up my account (for nowonly using
BET365). In particular I was very interested in💰 your statings about you losing money at
Pinnacle Sports while arbing and winning everywhere else. Therefore i set up a💰 thesis,
that I could derive the "true odds" from Pinancles 1x2-odds, by calculating in the
margin. I have now tried💰 my thesis at BET365 and the result is that I am losing.
I have
made more than 220 bets and I💰 lose 10 % (!!!) on an average bet. Meaning that I am
loosing more, than if I did place my💰 bets all random!
This can mean a number of
things:
Maybe I should stay away from matches with a huge favorite. I💰 can see that I am
l losing in average 23 % when betting on odds below odds 2, and 28💰 % when betting on
odds higher than 5, while I am only losing 2 % on odds between 2 and💰 5.
It can also be
read as a sign of BET365 becoming sharper (or Pinnacle becoming worse?)
What are your
thoughts? Am💰 I doing something wrong? Is Bet365 sharper than Pinancle? Or do I need to
adjust for anything else than margins💰 when deriving the "true odds" from Pinnacle? Is
my thesis all wrong?
Thanks in advance and sorry for the english. I💰 am not a native, as
you might have guessed.
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