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Who wants a rematch?
Charles Oliveira dominated Beneil Dariush at UFC 289, prompting the
hungriest fight fans to bang the table♣ for "Do Bronx" getting another UFC lightweight
title shot.
We already saw the Oliveira vs Islam Makhachev fight at UFC 280♣ play out —
Islam won by second-round submission — but perhaps Charles has evolved enough to pull
off an upset♣ victory this time around.
Charles and Islam will fight at UFC 294 in Abu
Dhabi on October 21. The early Oliveira♣ vs Makhachev odds have the Russian as a -334
favorite.
Charles Oliveira vs Islam Makhachev Odds
Oliveira vs Makhachev Odds Fighter
Odds♣ Charles Oliveira +250 Islam Makhachev -334
Odds as of August 9
Per our odds
calculator, aR$100 bet on Makhachev at -334 pays♣ outR$129.94. The sameR$100 on Oliveira
at +250 netsR$350.
Oliveira vs Makhachev Preview
The odds tell one story, but does the
in-Octagon action♣ play out differently than their first bout at UFC 280?
How Oliveira
Wins
Charles put on a masterclass in his upset win♣ over Beneil Dariush at UFC 289. The
Brazilian established the center of the cage and immediately threatened Dariush with
thunderous♣ high kicks to set the tone. Within minutes, “Do Bronx” had Benny cornered
and covering up for dear life. Oliveira♣ needs to re-establish that tornado-like
momentum in any potential rematch vs Islam.
The 34-year-old is objectively a more
dynamic striker than♣ Makhachev, though the champion caught him with some good left
straights at UFC 280. Charles can eat those and keep♣ moving. Oliveira ran into trouble
when the champ started marching him backward. Dagestani fighters will drain your gas
tank by♣ pressing you against the cage and seeking those judo takedowns. Oliveira ran
out of steam, dropped his hands, then Makhachev♣ socked him with a hook and jumped for
the submission.
Charles wins the rematch by continuously moving his feet, claiming the
♣ center of the Octagon and doing his best to put Makhachev on his heels.
How Makhachev
Wins
Rinse and repeat. Makhachev is♣ fresh off a title defense at UFC 284, where he
battled all kinds of adversity against Alexander Volkanovski. Islam won♣ a tight
five-round decision in that bout, but in a rematch against Charles, he can breathe a
sigh of relief.
The♣ wrestling offers an impenetrable security blanket in all
Makhachev’s fights — Islam knows he’ll dominate on the ground. At UFC♣ 280, there were
concerns about how Makhachev might weather Charles’ striking. Islam erased those doubts
by keeping things simple. As♣ a southpaw, he used one-two combos, keeping things short
and snappy when Oliveira blitzed in.
Oliveira wins by overwhelming or confusing♣ his
opponents. Islam is steady. And unless he starts panicking, which I don’t envision,
he’ll be well-equipped for a rematch.
Charles♣ Oliveira vs Islam Makhachev Pick
After
the Dariush win, I'm a Charles believer. But, in this instance, I don't foresee a
♣ situation where he gets past Islam. Makhachev is like bedrock — you can't outslug him —
and with Oliveira's propensity♣ for early stoppages, I'll bet Do Bronx gets torpedoed
again early.
Pick: Makhachev inside the distance (TBD); UNDER 3.5 rounds (TBD)
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